Representatives for Providence Health Systems and Kaiser Permanente did not immediately respond to requests for comment. Legacy Health Systems, one of the largest in the Portland metro area, does not track that particular datapoint, a spokesperson for the hospital group said Friday, while a spokesperson for OHSU said that breakdown was not immediately available. Nationally, some hospitals have begun releasing this breakdown, but not locally. One complicating factor: Oregon does not appear to publicly release the breakdown of how many patients arrive at a hospital because of Covid-19, as opposed to how many arrive for other reasons and test positive, referred to as “incidental Covid.” Such patients do not necessarily require the same level or type of care that a patient with severe Covid would need. “It will be especially important to protect those most vulnerable to severe illness over the next few weeks.” “Now is not the time to be resigned to getting COVID,” Graven said via a news release from OHSU. That comes as case numbers have risen precipitously around the state, even though they are a likely undercount of true spread, given how many people are taking at-home rapid tests or are asymptomatic and unaware. On Friday, though, Graven’s estimate was revised upward, to 1,650 hospitalizations. For example, the United Kingdom is reporting that the risk of being hospitalized with Omicron is about half of what it is was under Delta, and far lower still for vaccinated people. Then, a week later and without the accompanying press conference, that figure was dialed back to 1,250 Covid-related hospitalizations by mid-February, in light of data from around the world suggesting that case counts and hospitalizations were diverging. That's more than double the total during the summer of 2021, when the Delta variant pushed the state’s hospital capacity close to the brink. It is unclear at this point if it will spread rapidly and drive an increase in hospital utilization, Oregon Health & Science University analyst Peter Graven said in an email. Kate Brown and the Oregon Health Authority, said there could be as many as 3,000 Omicron-related hospitalizations in Oregon by mid to late February. And that’s why we’re seeing these very large, marked outbreaks early on.Just two weeks ago, during a somber press conference, Peter Graven, the director of the OHSU Office of Advanced Analytics whose forecasts are relied upon by Gov. “We had a huge pool of people, compared to what we normally do, who could be infected by RSV and could be infected by flu because we’ve basically missed two seasons of it,” said Dr Jeffrey Shaman, an infectious disease epidemiologist at Columbia University.Īs a result, he said, the viruses were “able to go to work early and infect a lot of people. The cumulative hospitalisation rate is higher for this time of year than it has been in more than a decade. Hospitalisation rates for older adults have surged, too.įlu took off in October, about six weeks ahead of schedule, and has already caused at least 150,000 hospitalisations and 9,300 deaths, according to estimates from the Centres for Disease Control and Prevention. But in 2022, cases of RSV began rising steeply in September, and by mid-November paediatric hospitalisation rates had hit the highest level since tracking began in 2018. The virus typically peaks in December or January. By the time children in the United States are 2 years old, almost all have been exposed to the virus. The first virus to surge this fall was RSV, which usually causes mild illness but can be severe, or even fatal, in older adults and young children.
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